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复杂系统与复杂性科学  2020, Vol. 17 Issue (1): 71-80    DOI: 10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.01.009
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
在线顾客购买阵发性的测量和调节作用
卢美丽1, 高宇佳1, 叶作亮2
1.山西财经大学工商管理学院,太原 030006;
2.西南财经大学国际商学院,成都 611130
Measurement and Moderating Effect of Online Customer Purchase Clumpy
LU Meili1, GAO Yujia1, YE Zuoliang2
1.School of Business Administration, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Taiyuan 030006, China;
2.School of International Business, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China
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摘要 随着对人类行为时空复杂性分析的深入,大量的实证研究发现人类的行为常常不再表现为泊松分布,而是呈现出一段时间内频繁发生,经历长久静默之后再次爆发的“阵发性”特征。针对我国电子商务中顾客购买行为的特点,提出改进的阵发性测量方法,并对一号店及京东平台的顾客购买行为进行测量和实证分析。结果表明,在线顾客最近购买时间R、购买频次F与其活跃的概率正相关;阵发性对最近购买时间R有调节作用,无阵发性的顾客,最近购买时间R和其活跃的概率更相关。
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卢美丽
高宇佳
叶作亮
关键词 在线购买阵发性泊松分布幂律分布Logit回归    
Abstract:With the in-depth analysis of space and time complexity of human behavior, a large number of empirical studies have found that human behavior is no longer considered as Poisson distribution, but shows a "clumpy" phenomenon that occurs frequently after a long silence. This paper proposes an improved method combining the characteristics of current online purchase behavior. By measuring and the purchase clumpy of customers on the YHD and the JD platform, this paper gives empirical research. The results show that the customer's recent purchase time R, the purchase frequency F and the customer's active odds are positively correlated; Clumpy has a moderating effect on the recent purchase time R, and the recent purchase time R is more related to the customer's active odds to the no clumpy customers.
Key wordsonline purchase    clumpy    Poisson distribution    power-law distribution    Logit regression
收稿日期: 2019-08-28      出版日期: 2020-04-29
ZTFLH:  F719  
基金资助:国家教育部人文社科项目(18YJA630071);山西省软科学研究计划项目(2018041069-1);山西省高等学校工商管理优势学科攀升计划项目(晋教研[2018]4号)
作者简介: 卢美丽(1970-),女,山西浑源人,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为电子商务和企业物流。
引用本文:   
卢美丽, 高宇佳, 叶作亮. 在线顾客购买阵发性的测量和调节作用[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2020, 17(1): 71-80.
LU Meili, GAO Yujia, YE Zuoliang. Measurement and Moderating Effect of Online Customer Purchase Clumpy. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2020, 17(1): 71-80.
链接本文:  
http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/10.13306/j.1672-3813.2020.01.009      或      http://fzkx.qdu.edu.cn/CN/Y2020/V17/I1/71
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