Study on Propagation of Unsafe Behavior of Laboratory Personnel Based on SD-SEIR Models
SHI Juan1, CHANG Dingyi1, ZHENG Peng1,2, LI Guanlong1, ZHOU Jiayao1
1. School of Management, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China; 2. Huadian Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310030, China
Abstract：In order to study the propagation mechanism of unsafe behaviors of university laboratory personnel and to improve the inspection of unsafe behaviors, a propagation model of unsafe behaviors was constructed based on system dynamics and SEIR propagation model. The state variables, rate variables and parameters were set up through Anylogic platform. Finally, the simulation of the model was applied to a laboratory of a university in Tianjin, and some guiding suggestions were provided. This research showed that increasing recovery rate, improvement rate, direct immunity rate, reducing exposed rate, infectious rate, forgetting rate effectively prevented and controlled the propagation of unsafe behaviors in university laboratories.
石娟, 常丁懿, 郑鹏, 李冠龙, 周嘉尧. 基于SD-SEIR模型的实验室人员不安全行为传播研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2021, 18(3): 67-74.
SHI Juan, CHANG Dingyi, ZHENG Peng, LI Guanlong, ZHOU Jiayao. Study on Propagation of Unsafe Behavior of Laboratory Personnel Based on SD-SEIR Models. Complex Systems and Complexity Science, 2021, 18(3): 67-74.
[1] 阮慧,项晓慧,李五一. 美国高校实验室安全管理给我们的启示[J]. 实验技术与管理, 2009, 26(10): 4-7. Ruan Hui, Xiang Xiaohui, Li Wuyi. Enlightenment from laboratory safety management in American colleges and universities[J]. Experimental Technology and Management, 2009, 26(10): 4-7. [2] 李志红. 100起实验室安全事故统计分析及对策研究[J]. 实验技术与管理, 2014, 31(4): 210-213. Li Zhihong. Statistical analysis and countermeasures of 100 laboratory safety accidents[J]. Experimental Technology and Ma-nagement, 2014, 31(4): 210-213. [3] Haslam R A, Hide S A, Gibb A G F, et al. Contributing factors in construction accidents.[J]. Applied Ergonomics, 2005, 36(4): 401-415. [4] Wu T C, Liu C W, Lu M C. Safety climate in university and college laboratories: Impact of organizational and individual factors[J]. Journal of Safety Research, 2007, 38(1): 91-102. [5] 石娟,郑鹏,徐凌峰,等. 小世界网络中的大学生危机行为传播仿真研究[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(12): 21-27. Shi Juan, Zheng Peng, Xu Lingfeng, et al. Simulation study on spreading of crisis behavior of college students in small world networks[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2019, 29(12): 21-27. [6] 许正权,张妮,王华清,等. 矿工不安全行为的网络传播性分析[J]. 科技进步与对策, 2014, 31(11): 54-56. Xu Zhengquan, Zhang Ni, Wang Huaqing, et al. Analysis on network communication of unsafe behaviors of miners[J]. Science and Technology Progress and Countermeasures, 2014, 31(11): 54-56. [7] Mohammadfam I, Ghasemi F, Kalatpour O, et al. Constructing a bayesian network model for improving safety behavior of employees at workplaces[J]. Applied Ergonomics, 2017, 58: 35-37. [8] 谭洪卓,杜传林,李福君,等. 安全管理学在实验室安全工作中的应用[J]. 实验室科学, 2018, 21(2): 213-216. Tan Hongzhuo, Du Chuanlin, Li Fujun, et al. Application of safety management science in laboratory safety work[J]. Laboratory Science, 2018, 21(2): 213-216. [9] 黄飞,张慧风,胡立双,等. 行为安全管理在实验室中的应用研究[J]. 实验技术与管理, 2015, 32(1): 230-232. Huang Fei, Zhang Huifeng, Hu Lishuang, et al. Research on the application of behavioral safety management in laboratory[J]. Experimental Technology and Management, 2015, 32(1): 230-232. [10] Seo D C. An explicative model of unsafe work behavior[J]. Safety Science, 2005, 43(3): 187-211. [11] 熊正鹏,刘娇月. 教学实验设备安全性问题的探讨[J]. 实验技术与管理, 2009, 26(12): 59-61. Xiong Zhengpeng, Liu Jiaoyue. Discussion on the safety of teaching experimental equipment [J]. Experimental Technology and Management, 2009, 26(12): 59-61. [12] 李培哲. 产学研视角下高技术产业成长系统动力学研究[J]. 复杂系统与复杂性科学, 2020, 17(2): 76-85. Li Peizhe. Research on dynamics of growth system of high-tech industry from the perspective of industry-academy-research[J]. Science of Complex Systems and Complexity, 2020, 17(2): 76-85. [13] 王小刚. 基于传染病模型的微信信息传播机制研究[D]. 镇江:江苏大学, 2017. Wang Xiaogang. Research on wechat information propagation mechanism based on infectious disease model[D]. Zhenjiang: JiangSu University, 2017. [14] 杨湘浩,段哲哲,王筱莉. 考虑遗忘机制的企业隐性知识传播SIR模型研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2019, 27(7): 195-202. Yang Xianghao, Duan Zhezhe, Wang Xiaoli. Research on the tacit knowledge transmission model of enterprises considering forgetting mechanism[J]. China Management Science, 2019, 27(7): 195-202. [15] Figueroa M E. A theory-based socioecological model of communication and behavior for the containment of the ebola epidemic in liberia.[J]. Journal of Health Communication, 2017, 22(Sup1):5-9. [16] 陈波,于泠,刘君亭,等. 泛在媒体环境下的网络舆情传播控制模型[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2011, 31(11): 2140-2150. Chen Bo, Yu Ling, Liu Junting, et al. Network public opinion communication control model in ubiquitous media environment[J]. Systems Engineering: Theory and Practice, 2011, 31(11): 2140-2150. [17] 邱小燕. 复杂网络中谣言传播模型及防控策略研究[D]. 上海:上海大学, 2016. Qiu Xiaoyan. Research on rumor propagation model and prevention and control strategies in complex networks[D]. Shanghai: Shanghai University, 2016. [18] 王长峰,庄文英,于长钺. 基于改进SIR模型的群体意见竞争演化研究[J]. 情报杂志, 2017, 36(10): 97-103. Wang Changfeng, Zhuang Wenying, Yu Changyue. Research on the evolution of group opinion competition based on the improved SIR model[J]. Journal of Intelligence, 2017, 36(10): 97-103. [19] 杨振宏,丁光灿,张涛,等. 基于SEM的建筑工人不安全行为传播影响因素研究[J].安全与环境学报, 2018, 18(3): 987-992. Yang Zhenhong, Ding Guangcan, Zhang Tao, et al. Study on factors influencing the propagation of unsafe behaviors of construction workers based on SEM[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2018, 18(3): 987-992.
